Lubbock Left

Dig it. I have finished the data entry finally. I came up with 558 signatures, while the petitioners report 557, so I probably got someone’s scribble in there for the benefit of the doubt.

I’m beginning my analysis and will probably call in to the Chad Hasty Show to share some of my findings. For now, here’s what I got…

First, below are the dates of the petition drive, along with how many signatures were collected each day:

7/17/2007 — 5
7/18/2007 — 4
7/19/2007 — 16
7/20/2007 — 5
7/21/2007 — 8
7/22/2007 — 2
7/23/2007 — 10
7/24/2007 — 17
7/25/2007 — 30
7/26/2007 — 13
7/27/2007 — 27
7/28/2007 — 12
7/29/2007 — 12
7/30/2007 — 16
7/31/2007 — 22
8/1/2007 — 10
8/2/2007 — 14
8/3/2007 — 1
8/4/2007 — 16
8/5/2007 — 16
8/6/2007 — 21
8/7/2007 — 13
8/8/2007 — 26
8/9/2007 — 27
8/10/2007 — 29
8/11/2007 — 55
8/12/2007 — 118
8/13/2007 — 7

I’m not sure if the 9 signatures from 7/17 and 7/18 will count, since the petitions indicate that they were issued on 7/19. Of course, that may have to do with the disagreement over the Spanish translation on the petition. Anyway, as you can see, the organizers really waited to the last minute to get it all together. Not a good sign.

Furthermore, 107 signatures were turned in without certificate numbers to go with them. If those signatures cannot be matched by name+address to registered voters within the district, then the petition will fail. 558 - 107 = 451 = not enough signatures. I believe that 494 is the magic number of signatures needed. Again, not a good sign.

The petition represents signatures gathered from 366 distinct households, for an average of about 1.52 people per household. The average age of the signers is 49 years old, and the median age of the signers is 48 years old. The minimum age of the signers is 17 (that signature won’t count), and the maximum age is 93. 117 signers, or about 21%, are age 65 or older.

162 signers, or 29% of the signers, affirm that they voted for DeLeon in the 2006 election. 312 signers indicated that they did not vote for DeLeon in 2006, and 84 signatures did not indicate whether they voted for DeLeon in 2006.

Looks like the success of the petition will probably be close either way.